Markets/October 2026/4 min read

Investors Are Starting to Price Climate Risk: What Robeco’s 2026 Survey Means for Reporting

A new Robeco survey of 300 institutional investors representing over $35 trillion finds climate risk moving from a values conversation to a pricing one: 82% expect physical climate risks to affect asset prices within ten years. When capital starts pricing risk, vague reporting stops being an option.

For several years the story about climate and investors ran in one direction — backlash, retreat, and a quiet walking-back of commitments. Robeco’s 2026 Global Climate Investing Survey points the other way. Based on 300 institutional and wholesale investors across Europe, North America, Asia-Pacific and South Africa — representing more than $35 trillion in assets — it finds climate moving from a stated ambition to a pricing question.

Climate risk is becoming a pricing input

The headline number is hard to ignore: 82% of investors expect physical climate risks to have a significant or moderate impact on asset prices over the next ten years, with 46% expecting a “significant” impact. Two-thirds (66%) see that impact within just five years. A majority also expect physical risk to shape strategic asset allocation (63%), stock picking (59%) and even asset-manager selection (57%) over the next five years.

“Climate has moved from a stated ambition to a pricing question, and a pricing question cannot be set aside when the mood turns. — Lucian Peppelenbos, Climate & Biodiversity Strategist, Robeco”

After peaking in 2022, the share of investors calling climate central to their investment policy has ticked up for the first time since the backlash began — 47% this year, led by a rebound in North America (still the laggard at 27%). Looking ahead, 62% expect climate to be significant or central to policy within two years.

Commitments are holding — and capital is moving

  • Among investors with a net-zero commitment, 64% say the global slowdown in government support has not changed their goal or approach; only 4% are reconsidering the commitment itself
  • 60% plan to increase allocations to climate-solution investments over the next three years (42% within the next year)
  • 72% have either set a quantitative target or a general aim to invest more in climate solutions — up from 64% a year ago
  • Yet investors are clear-eyed: only 19% expect an orderly transition this decade, and 44% see the 2°C Paris target as unachievable

What it means for how you report

When investors start treating climate as a pricing variable rather than a values statement, the quality of your climate and sustainability communication becomes a financial issue, not a reputational one. Decision-useful, evidence-backed disclosure — connected to strategy, risk and long-term value — is what lets capital price your company accurately instead of applying a discount for uncertainty.

This is the same shift we see everywhere in the market: frameworks are the structure, not the story; credibility beats volume; and sustainability has to live inside the business. Big Pivot Partners helps companies turn a fragmented, fast-moving disclosure landscape into a clear, credible narrative that investors can actually use — working alongside the legal, accounting and assurance advisers who own the technical compliance questions.

External reading
ESG Today: 82% of investors expect climate risks to impact asset prices

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